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	<title>Fantasy Sports Dirt &#187; Vladimir Guerrero</title>
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		<title>The Fantasy Baseball Forecast: Leading Off</title>
		<link>http://fantasysportsdirt.com/617/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-leading-off/</link>
		<comments>http://fantasysportsdirt.com/617/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-leading-off/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Apr 2010 19:45:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Eddie</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MLB]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[A's]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adrian Gonzalez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Angels]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Brandon Wood]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Jake Fox]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jon Rauch]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[lance berkman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Major League Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mariners]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Guerrier]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Opening Day]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[White Sox]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Every year, even in the deepest of leagues, there are Major League Baseball players on the verge of a Fantasy Breakout season that go undrafted. Last season, alone, Miguel Montero and David Aardsma were just two who were integral parts of many Fantasy League championships despite being left unselected on draft day. The key for you, as an owner, is to identify those hidden gems as early as possible and incorporate them into your daily lineup.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h3><em>by Moonlight Graham</em></h3>
<p>We&#8217;ve all heard the opinion espoused by <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/597/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-outfielders-preview/">Fantasy Baseball Owners</a> everywhere: No championships are won on Draft <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/fieldwithballmoon1.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-620" title="fieldwithballmoon" src="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/fieldwithballmoon1.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="286" /></a>Day. However, whether you agree with that or not, most titles ARE won in April. Too many of us put in a ton of work preparing for the <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/115/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-nl-all-stars/">Fantasy Baseball Draft</a> only to make the fatal mistake of ignoring our squads during the season&#8217;s first few weeks. Don&#8217;t be one of those guys.</p>
<p>Every year, even in the deepest of leagues, there are <a href="http://www.collegesportsview.com/1671/the-view-from-the-cheap-seats-24/">Major League Baseball</a> players on the verge of a <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/419/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-forecast/">Fantasy Breakout</a> season that go undrafted. Last season, alone, Miguel Montero and <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/12/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-forecast-high-and-tight/">David Aardsma</a> were just two who were integral parts of many Fantasy League championships despite being left unselected on draft day. The key for you, as an owner, is to identify those hidden gems as early as possible and incorporate them into your daily lineup.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s only half the battle, however, as t is just as critical to cut ties with drafted players not performing up to expectations. Daily perusal of the box scores and injury reports is the first step in this process; followed by the much more difficult one that forces you to admit you may have been wrong about a player. Once the draft is over, forget preferences and simply evaluate performance.<span id="more-617"></span></p>
<p><em> </em>Kansas City&#8217;s Gil Meche may be back as early as Sunday if a mid-week bullpen session goes painlessly. However, he&#8217;s still just an AL-only option at this point&#8230; In Baltimore, <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/545/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-middle-infield-preview/">Miguel Tejada&#8217;s</a> Opening Day home in the cleanup spot may not be permanent. Make note of his 3B eligibility after 20 games&#8230; Do not be swayed by reports from Los Angeles that long time prospect Brandon Wood is finally ready to produce. He looked lost during the first two games of the Minnesota series and may simply be a 4A player&#8230; Angel&#8217;s LHP<a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/50/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-forecast-over-the-bag/"> Scott Kazmir</a> (right) is on course to start his first game next week <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/kazmir2.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-627" title="kazmir2" src="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/kazmir2.jpg" alt="" width="122" height="131" /></a>vs. the Yankees&#8230;OF Alex Rios&#8217; strong camp and first week have many White Sox teammates expecting big things. <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/597/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-outfielders-preview/">Fantasy Owners</a>, however, will remember two straight disastrous seasons before jumping on his bandwagon&#8230; While Jon Rauch has been given the closer job in Minnesota, don&#8217;t forget that he struggled in the same role as a National and failed to emerge as the stopper in Arizona despite a muddled bullpen situation. Matt Guerrier is the Twins&#8217; best reliever and one whom <a href="http://www.collegesportsview.com/894/the-view-from-the-cheap-seats-15/">Ron Gardenhire</a> won&#8217;t hesitate to call should Rauch falter&#8230; Oakland&#8217;s Trevor Cahill has been hampered by a sore shoulder since last September and saw the pain worsen this spring&#8230;With the release of Jack Cust, the A&#8217;s turned their backup C and DH roles over to Jake Fox. Given the injury history of current DH Eric Chavez, Fox, already eligible at  OF and 3B, could be a nice stash in an AL-only league&#8230;In Seattle, C Rob Johnson says he&#8217;s healthy after three, off-season surgeries to alleviate hip and wrist problems. The long time prospect and new starting backstop drilled an Opening Day HR&#8230; If Jays&#8217; 3B Edwin Encarnacion has his usual slow start, look for Toronto to hand the job to rookie Brett Wallace&#8230;Rangers&#8217; 2B<a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/133/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-the-trading-deadline/"> Ian Kinsler</a> is eligible to return from an ankle sprain on Saturday but looks like he&#8217;ll be out awhile longer&#8230; Be wary of owning Marlins&#8217; starting pitchers as their defense, especially on the infield, seems like a baseball version of slapstick comedy&#8230; Franklin Morales may hold on to the Rockies&#8217; closer job for longer than expected as Huston Street made the dreaded visit to Dr. James Andrews this week regarding his sore right shoulder&#8230; Astros&#8217; 1B <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/555/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-corner-infielders/">Lance Berkman</a> has had his knee drained five times but is still hampered by swelling. He&#8217;s on the DL with no date set for his return&#8230; Erik Bedard is said to be ahead of schedule in his recovery from shoulder surgery and could be back in the Seattle rotation as early as June.</p>
<h3>Fantasy Baseball News and Notes</h3>
<h3><em>Buy Low</em></h3>
<p>- As a full time DH, <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/324/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-mlb-playoff-preview/">Vladimir Guerrero</a> is more likely to remain healthy in 2010. If so, he&#8217;ll get a huge boost from hitting in the middle of the powerful Rangers&#8217; lineup&#8230; San Diego&#8217;s Kyle Blanks, whose 10 HR last season came in just 148 AB, posted a .407 BA this spring and landed the cleanup spot behind Adrian Gonzalez.</p>
<h3><em>Sell High</em></h3>
<p><em>-</em> Can&#8217;t understand how smart Fantasy guys continue to draft Cubs&#8217; RHP <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/199/is-steroid-use-a-ticket-to-the-disabled-list-a-possible-list-of-the-dreaded-103-says-%E2%80%9Cyes%E2%80%9D/">Carlos Zambrano</a> (right). <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/zambrano22.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-624" title="zambrano2" src="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/04/zambrano22.jpg" alt="" width="96" height="116" /></a> He&#8217;s still out of shape, (despite losing fifteen pounds), has seen a three year drop in dominance and battles emotional instability. Talk up his weight loss and dump him on anybody who didn&#8217;t notice he got shelled on Opening Day&#8230; Toronto&#8217;s Jason Frasor, who inherited the closer&#8217;s role by default in &#8217;09 when Scott Downs was injured, blew the save in Monday&#8217;s opener vs. Texas.  Don&#8217;t expect Cito Gaston to be patient with him, especially with Kevin Gregg and a healthy Downs on the roster.</p>
<h3><em>Grab Bag</em></h3>
<p>- Twins&#8217; OF Delmon Young had a strong camp and opened the season with a HR vs. the Angels. Don&#8217;t forget that, despite his struggles since arriving in Minnesota, he does have a 90+ RBI season already on his resume&#8230;Reds&#8217; 3B Scott Rolen had a terrific &#8217;09, hitting .305 while splitting time between Toronto and Cincinnati. While he is always an injury risk, he&#8217;s in a great hitter&#8217;s park and looks very strong.</p>
<h3><em>Drop Zone</em></h3>
<p>- RHP Jake Westbrook threw four wild pitches in Cleveland&#8217;s opener. Lack of command is the biggest obstacle for a pitcher coming back from shoulder surgery; something Westbrook has yet to overcome. He should not be on your roster even in an AL-only format&#8230; The catching situation in Colorado&#8217; with Chris Iannetta and Miguel Olivo splitting time equally, devalues each of the platoon mates. Avoid both&#8230; If Jays&#8217; 3B Edwin Encarnacion has his usual slow start, look for Toronto to hand the job to rookie Brett Wallace&#8230;</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Moonlight Graham&#8217;s Fantasy Baseball Forecast: High and Tight</title>
		<link>http://fantasysportsdirt.com/12/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-forecast-high-and-tight/</link>
		<comments>http://fantasysportsdirt.com/12/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-forecast-high-and-tight/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Jun 2009 05:34:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Moonlight Graham</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Mccutchen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Miller]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[While injuries have certainly been a prevailing theme for many MLB teams, two managers have been pulling rabbits out of hats all year long. In Los Angeles, both Joe Torre and Mike Scioscia have their squads atop the division despite depleted rosters that would have sent lesser teams to the bottom of the standings. Torre <a href='http://fantasysportsdirt.com/12/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-forecast-high-and-tight/'>[...]</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>While injuries have certainly been a prevailing theme for many MLB teams, two managers have been pulling rabbits out of hats all year long.  In Los Angeles, both <img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-82" src="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/fieldwithballmoon_copy_2zyh-300x286.jpg" alt="fieldwithballmoon_copy_2zyh" width="300" height="286" />Joe Torre and Mike Scioscia have their squads atop the division despite depleted rosters that would have sent lesser teams to the bottom of the standings.  Torre has been without Manny Ramirez since April and has seen a complete power outage from C Russell Martin.  Scioscia has had to deal with the death of Nick Adenhart, injuries to starters Kelvim Escobar, John Lackey and Ervin Santana while also struggling along without Vladimir Guerrero…  It’s absolutely ridiculous that steroid cheat Manny Ramirez gets to do a Minor League rehab before his 50 game suspension is complete.  If suspended farmhands have to sit out the whole sentence, why not the big boys?..  Joey Votto returned to the Reds’ lineup last week and picked up right where he left off.  After sitting out more than a month, Votto revealed that his emotional problems stemmed from the difficulty he’s had in coping with his dad’s death.  Funny how, sometimes, we forget that many of these big leaguers are still just kids.  Good luck, Joey… The Marlins got a glimpse of why Andrew Miller was the focal point of the Miguel Cabrera trade with the Tigers.  In his last start, Miller gave up a leadoff double vs. the Orioles and then not another knock through 7 IP… Though having hit just 1 HR, Andrew McCutchen has surprised in Pittsburgh with 14 RBI in his first 18 G…  When you sit down for your Fantasy Baseball Draft next year, remember that Heath Bell, likely a very, very late pick in mixed drafts, is leading the NL in S while Brad Lidge has blown 7 S already.  Never, ever, reach for relievers or chase saves.  They always come into the league… Mark Teixeira’s offensive prowess was unquestioned when he signed with the Yankees.  What many (me) didn’t know was how smooth he is in the field.  He is the very definition of an all- around player… Hope you heeded some Moonlight wisdom about Gil Meche.  Since throwing 132 pitches in a complete game, Meche has allowed 13 ER in just 8 IP over 2 starts.  Another victim of the pitch count police as he isn’t used to the extra work… Don’t look now, but the Tampa Bay Rays have the AL’s best record since April 30th…  Jimmy Rollins returns to the Phillies’ lineup on Tuesday, hoping that his four game vacation will help pull him off the Mendoza line… David Aardsma is turning into a dominant closer for the Mariners… Quick, who is currently the best pitcher in the AL?  My vote goes to Josh Beckett.  Healthy now, he looks very much like the 2007 version that won 20 G…</p>
<p><em><strong>Buy Low</strong></em>- Not surprising to find a Colorado Rockie leading this list, as they are the hottest team in the game.  Troy Tulowitzki leads the charge, raising his BA more than 40 points over the last two weeks while rediscovering the power he displayed during his stellar rookie year… John Danks has put two dominating performances back to back as the White Sox rotation has started to turn things around… Been waiting all year to add Francisco Liriano to this list. The projected Twins’ ace has looked like his old self in his last two outings…</p>
<p><strong><em>Sell High</em></strong>- Jesse Palmer currently sports a 7-1 record for the Angels.  Make a point of that and deal him before your trade partner notices that he doesn’t strike anyone out and has a 5.16 ERA… Despite vying for the NL batting lead, Pablo Sandoval hasn’t logged any time behind the plate; significantly lowering his value heading into next season’s Fantasy Baseball Draft.  If yours is not a keeper league, you might consider moving him for a lot of help in return…</p>
<p><strong><em>Grab Bag</em></strong>- Mike MacDougal has been a nice surprise for the Nationals since taking over as closer… I know it was only the Mets, baseball’s version of a AAAA team, but Chien Ming Wang turned in his second straight solid performance vs. the Amazins on Sunday.  If you’re looking for pitching, you could take a flier on much worse… Oakland turns to Gio Gonzalez after losing Josh Outman to Tommy John surgery. Gonzalez, long a top prospect, was 4-1 2.50 at AAA Sacramento… Chad Gaudin shut out the Rangers in Arlington on Sunday; his third straight dominant outing for Seattle.  His K total has spiked over that time as well&#8230;</p>
<p><em><strong>Drop Zone</strong>-</em> Bill Hall may have seen his last day as the Brewers staring 3B.  With his BA at .197 and Mat Gamel playing well, Hall doesn’t figure to see the field anytime soon… It pains me to write the name Vladimir Guerrero in this spot but that’s just where Vladdy’s power outage has landed him.  Take him out of your lineup until he starts driving the ball… Getting close to the time to give up the ghost on the struggling Elijah Dukes…</p>
<p><em><strong>Sick Bay</strong></em>- It’s starting to become more likely that Brandon Webb won’t be returning to the D’Back’s anytime soon.  He’ll seek the opinions of three specialists this week as to what might be wrong with his shoulder and could be out for the season…  Braves’ SS Yunel Escobar is trying to play through a hip problem that has forced him to the bench on occasion… Jose Reyes took ground balls and BP over the weekend but still appears to be out until after the break… Carlos Quentin is in the midst of a running program but is no closer to returning from a foot injury…</p>
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