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	<title>Fantasy Sports Dirt &#187; Nelson Cruz</title>
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		<title>The Fantasy Baseball Forecast: The Case for Joe Mauer</title>
		<link>http://fantasysportsdirt.com/427/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-baseball-forecast-2/</link>
		<comments>http://fantasysportsdirt.com/427/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-baseball-forecast-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 23 Jan 2010 01:33:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Eddie</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Albert Pujols]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alex Rodriguez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brian Mccann]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball Draft]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hanley Ramirez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hausier's Krowedum Rotisserie Baseball league]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jack Sullivan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jason Bartlett]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jason Kubel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joe Mauer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joey Votto]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Mock Drafts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Moonlight Graham]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Nelson Cruz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[No Brainer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Number 6]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Proud Owner]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rotisserie League]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ryan Braun]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shortstop]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fantasysportsdirt.com/?p=427</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In most drafts, Albert Pujols is the logical first choice.  Ramirez usually goes second, not so much because his statistics are markedly better than alternative choices such as Ryan Braun or Alex Rodriguez but due to the fact that he 57208977OG_D036707022produces at their level while playing a very thin position.  Think about what your roster would look like were you to pick Braun.  You'd have a stud outfielder but would now be forced to dip down into the shortstop pool later on; let's say to the 10th round where both Jason Bartlett and outfielder Nelson Cruz will be available.  Your team is obviously stronger with Ramirez and Cruz than with Braun and Bartlett.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h3><em>by Moonlight Graham</em></h3>
<p>Got a call the other day from <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/88/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-by-moonlight-graham/">Jack Sullivan</a>, proprietor of The Big Steins in the <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/133/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-the-trading-deadline/">Hausier&#8217;s Krowedum Rotisserie League </a><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-428" title="fieldwithballmoon" src="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/fieldwithballmoon1.jpg" alt="fieldwithballmoon" width="300" height="286" />and proud owner of the second and sixth picks in the upcoming HKRL <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/419/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-forecast/">Fantasy Baseball Draft</a>.  Jack had just started his draft prep by going over a few mock drafts and Top 100 lists.  He was surprised to find <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/149/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-baseball-forecast-infield-flies/">Joe Mauer</a> listed no higher than 12th on any of the material he was studying and had a question for me. &#8220;Now, with the second pick, <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/115/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-nl-all-stars/">Hanley Ramirez</a> is a no-brainer. But, with the sixth pick, I want Joe Mauer.&#8221;  &#8220;The list I&#8217;m looking at has him listed 12th but I&#8217;m not sure he even lasts until number 6.  Am I crazy?&#8221;</p>
<p><span id="more-427"></span>Well, Jackson, one could make the argument that, in fact, you are; especially after your tragic decision to waive <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/304/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-5/">Jason Kubel</a> just a day after last year&#8217;s draft.  But, in this case, you&#8217;re right on the mark with Kubel&#8217;s teammate, the great Joe Mauer.  As a matter of fact, the rationale behind your first pick confirms Mauer as worthy of a mid-first round choice.</p>
<p>In most drafts,<a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/258/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-4/"> Albert Pujols</a> is the logical first choice.  Ramirez usually goes second, not so much because his statistics are markedly better than alternative choices such as Ryan Braun or Alex Rodriguez but due to the fact that he <img class="alignright size-thumbnail wp-image-429" title="57208977OG_D036707022" src="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/mauer-150x150.jpg" alt="57208977OG_D036707022" width="150" height="150" />produces at their level while playing a very thin position.  Think about what your roster would look like were you to pick Braun.  You&#8217;d have a stud outfielder but would now be forced to dip down into the shortstop pool later on; let&#8217;s say to the 10th round where both Jason Bartlett and outfielder Nelson Cruz will be available.  Your team is obviously stronger with Ramirez and Cruz than with Braun and Bartlett.</p>
<p>The same logic must be applied to Mauer.  He&#8217;s a three time batting champ and the reigning MVP who, by the way, became a stud power hitter last year while batting .370.  Those stats put him in the first round no matter what his position.  That his is actually the weakest of all, you absolutely cannot afford to turn down his kind of production at that spot.  So, do you think you&#8217;re better off with Mauer and Joey Votto in the fifth round or with Mark Teixeira and Brian McCann?  Looks like an easy decision, Jack.  Good luck.</p>
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