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	<title>Fantasy Sports Dirt &#187; Jason Kubel</title>
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		<title>The Fantasy Baseball Forecast: All-Star Insanity</title>
		<link>http://fantasysportsdirt.com/760/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-all-star-insanity/</link>
		<comments>http://fantasysportsdirt.com/760/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-all-star-insanity/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Jul 2010 02:49:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Eddie</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[In 2003, in an attempt to regenerate fan interest just a year after a lack of available pitchers forced MLB Commissioner Bud Selig to declare the All Star Game a tie, Baseball's hierarchy decreed that the Mid-Summer Classic would now determine home field advantage in the World Series. It wasn't already bad enough that the rosters were watered down by the requirement that each team, no matter how bad, must be represented; now, a player from a second division club could have a hand in deciding the outcome of the sport's premier event months in advance.

While the move was and is opposed by many, I never really had a problem with it.  Not because I agree with the concept; it's completely ridiculous to think I'm staying up that late to watch Garrett Jones of the Pittsburgh Pirates face Kansas City Royals' closer Joakim Soria because I'd like the Mets to have home field if they get that far.  However, because the old system of alternating the privilege was also completely without merit, I figured, "Who cares?"  Until I realized that the new policy actually gives mindless fans the opportunity to hurt their team's shot at a championship; often at the prompting of it's own front office. We've all been to the ballpark in the early part of the season and heard the huge pitch to vote for the hometown boys.  Actually, you don't even have to attend a game anymore, as on-line balloting has given everyone a voice.  "Send Joe Blow to Los Angeles for the All Star Game", blare the ads.  "Forget the stats, vote for our guys!"  On the surface, a nice marketing strategy, but one that could prove fatal to a championship run. ﻿]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h3><em>MLB Clubs Undermine Own Chances at Title</em></h3>
<h3><em>by Moonlight Graham</em></h3>
<p>In 2003, in an attempt to regenerate fan interest just a year after a lack of available pitchers forced <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/748/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-roto-ball-in-the-media/">MLB Commissioner</a> <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/715/mlb-fraud-exposed-by-strong-rookie-debuts/">Bud Selig </a>to <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/fieldwithballmoon1.jpg"><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-820" title="fieldwithballmoon" src="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/fieldwithballmoon1.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="286" /></a>declare the <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/681/the-view-from-the-cheap-seats-keep-your-yankee-shirt-on/">All Star Game</a> a tie, Baseball&#8217;s hierarchy decreed that the Mid-Summer Classic would now determine home field advantage in the <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/583/the-view-from-the-cheap-seats-5/">World Series</a>. It wasn&#8217;t already bad enough that the rosters were watered down by the requirement that each team, no matter how bad, must be represented; now, a player from a second division club could have a hand in deciding the outcome of the sport&#8217;s premier event months in advance.</p>
<p>While the move was and is opposed by many, I never really had a problem with it.  Not because I agree with the concept; it&#8217;s completely ridiculous to think I&#8217;m staying up that late to watch <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/215/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-top-of-the-ninth/">Garrett Jones</a> of the Pittsburgh Pirates face Kansas City Royals&#8217; closer <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/50/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-forecast-over-the-bag/">Joakim Soria </a>because I&#8217;d like the Mets to have home field if they get that far.  However, because the old system of alternating the privilege was also completely without merit, I figured, &#8220;Who cares?&#8221;  Until I realized that the new policy actually gives mindless fans the opportunity to hurt their team&#8217;s shot at a championship; often at the prompting of it&#8217;s own front office. We&#8217;ve all been to the ballpark in the early part of the season and heard the huge pitch to vote for the hometown boys.  Actually, you don&#8217;t even have to attend a game anymore, as on-line balloting has given everyone a voice.  &#8220;Send Joe Blow to Los Angeles for the All Star Game&#8221;, blare the ads.  &#8220;Forget the stats, vote for our guys!&#8221;  On the surface, a nice marketing strategy, but one that could prove fatal to a championship run. ﻿<span id="more-760"></span></p>
<p>The Philadelphia Phillies have won two consecutive National League pennants and, despite being ravaged by injuries, are still within striking distance in the NL East. There aren&#8217;t many Phillies fans that aren&#8217;t expecting a third straight World Series appearance.  Yet, right down to the last week, fan balloting had 3B Placido Polanco, SS <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/344/moonlight-graham-mlb-playoffs-edition/">Jimmy Rollins </a>and 2B <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/545/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-middle-infield-preview/">Chase Utley</a> in the starting lineup.  Polanco, hiting .318 with 4 HR and 27 RBI, is a far cry from New York Mets&#8217; third sacker<a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/555/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-corner-infielders/"> David Wright</a> or Scott Rolen of the Cincinnati Reds; two Gold Glovers also boasting BA over .300 while sitting near the top of the league&#8217;s RBI standings.  Rollins has missed all but twenty games this season while Utley is going through the worst campaign of his career.  How does a Philadelphia baseball fan better the National League&#8217;s chances of winning the game by voting for any of them?  Rest assured, however, that if Charlie Manuel&#8217;s boys open the Series on the road, every cheese steak moron that backed &#8220;J-Roll&#8221; will be whining for all he&#8217;s worth.   And not a soul in the Phillies&#8217; front office will realize that their ad campaign was probably a bad idea.</p>
<h3><em>Fantasy News and Notes</em></h3>
<p>Although there hasn&#8217;t been a Triple Crown winner since Carl Yazstremski in 1967, there may actually be a three man race for the honor<a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/miguel-topper.jpg"><img class="alignright size-thumbnail wp-image-824" title="miguel-topper" src="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/miguel-topper-150x150.jpg" alt="" width="150" height="150" /></a> in the AL this year.  Detroit&#8217;s <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/555/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-corner-infielders/">Miguel Cabrera</a> leads the loop in HR and RBI and is fifth in BA.  Rangers&#8217; OF<a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/282/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-baseball-forecast/"> Josh Hamilton</a> is fourth in the batting race while sitting just 4 HR and 5 RBI back of Cabrera while, in Minnesota, Justin Morneau has as many dingers as Hamilton and is third in BA.  He&#8217;ll have to pick up the RBI, though, as he&#8217;s more than 10 behind the top spot&#8230; Don&#8217;t be too quick to write off the first half of Blue Jays&#8217; OF/3B Jose Bautista.  THe HR may have tailed off and his BA was never stellar, but his 49 BB indicate he&#8217;s still got a plan at the dish&#8230;Hank Blalock was released by the Rays to make room for Gabe Kapler.  Guess it&#8217;s really over when a team wants Kapler instead of anyone&#8230; Let me get this straight.  The Seattle Mariners, dead last in the AL West, may be looking to move Cliff Lee but gave up prospects for Russell Branyan?</p>
<h3><em>Buy Low</em></h3>
<p>- Is anyone still paying attention to the Baltimore Orioles?  If your league isn&#8217;t, call the guy that owns Adam Jones and make a deal.  After a miserable start, Jones used a hot June to raise his BA to .274 and now has 13 HR&#8230;This may be your last chance to grab Moonlight&#8217;s favorite sleeper, Jason Kubel.  His bat has warmed with the weather in Minnesota, his BA s climbing and he&#8217;s on pace for 90+ RBI.</p>
<h3><em>Sell High</em></h3>
<p>- After a dugout confrontation for not hustling in Tampa, B.J. Upton was out of the lineup with, what was called,  a hamstring issue.  I&#8217;m not buying. This is a guy that melted last year when Joe Maddon dropped him in the order.  Expect the same dropoff if he&#8217;s feuding with teammates&#8230; Angels&#8217; RHP Joel Pineiro has won five straight.  A solid pitcher, he&#8217;s never been dominant and you won&#8217;t miss him too much; especially if you can use his hot streak to secure a big bat.</p>
<h3><em>Grab Bag</em></h3>
<p>- Cincinnati Reds&#8217; rookie Travis Wood debuted yesterday with seven strong innings.  Not a big K guy, he&#8217;s been an ERA and WHIP monster all through the Minor Leagues.  If he stays in Dusty Baker&#8217;s rotation, grab him.</p>
<h3><em>Drop Zone</em></h3>
<p>- If you haven&#8217;t shed yourself of Rockies&#8217; 1B Todd Helton, do so, now.  Having never struck out more than 80 times in any of the last seven seasons, he&#8217;s now at 50 and complaining of a bad back.</p>
<h3><em>Sick Bay</em></h3>
<p>-  Had to share this one. In the Hausier&#8217;s Krowedum Rotisserie League, Jack Sullivan&#8217;s Big Steins have been bitten by the injury bug; often with comical results.  The laughter from the rest of the league had not yet died down after Kendry Morales was lost for the season while celebrating a HR when Luke Scott, another Big Stein, pulled a hammy rounding first after going deep.  The way I figure, if Jack&#8217;s guys keeping hitting dingers, he&#8217;s got no chance to win.</p>
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		<title>The Fantasy Baseball Forecast: The Case for Joe Mauer</title>
		<link>http://fantasysportsdirt.com/427/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-baseball-forecast-2/</link>
		<comments>http://fantasysportsdirt.com/427/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-baseball-forecast-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 23 Jan 2010 01:33:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Eddie</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Albert Pujols]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Tragic Decision]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[In most drafts, Albert Pujols is the logical first choice.  Ramirez usually goes second, not so much because his statistics are markedly better than alternative choices such as Ryan Braun or Alex Rodriguez but due to the fact that he 57208977OG_D036707022produces at their level while playing a very thin position.  Think about what your roster would look like were you to pick Braun.  You'd have a stud outfielder but would now be forced to dip down into the shortstop pool later on; let's say to the 10th round where both Jason Bartlett and outfielder Nelson Cruz will be available.  Your team is obviously stronger with Ramirez and Cruz than with Braun and Bartlett.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h3><em>by Moonlight Graham</em></h3>
<p>Got a call the other day from <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/88/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-by-moonlight-graham/">Jack Sullivan</a>, proprietor of The Big Steins in the <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/133/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-the-trading-deadline/">Hausier&#8217;s Krowedum Rotisserie League </a><img class="alignright size-full wp-image-428" title="fieldwithballmoon" src="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/fieldwithballmoon1.jpg" alt="fieldwithballmoon" width="300" height="286" />and proud owner of the second and sixth picks in the upcoming HKRL <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/419/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-forecast/">Fantasy Baseball Draft</a>.  Jack had just started his draft prep by going over a few mock drafts and Top 100 lists.  He was surprised to find <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/149/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-baseball-forecast-infield-flies/">Joe Mauer</a> listed no higher than 12th on any of the material he was studying and had a question for me. &#8220;Now, with the second pick, <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/115/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-nl-all-stars/">Hanley Ramirez</a> is a no-brainer. But, with the sixth pick, I want Joe Mauer.&#8221;  &#8220;The list I&#8217;m looking at has him listed 12th but I&#8217;m not sure he even lasts until number 6.  Am I crazy?&#8221;</p>
<p><span id="more-427"></span>Well, Jackson, one could make the argument that, in fact, you are; especially after your tragic decision to waive <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/304/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-5/">Jason Kubel</a> just a day after last year&#8217;s draft.  But, in this case, you&#8217;re right on the mark with Kubel&#8217;s teammate, the great Joe Mauer.  As a matter of fact, the rationale behind your first pick confirms Mauer as worthy of a mid-first round choice.</p>
<p>In most drafts,<a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/258/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-4/"> Albert Pujols</a> is the logical first choice.  Ramirez usually goes second, not so much because his statistics are markedly better than alternative choices such as Ryan Braun or Alex Rodriguez but due to the fact that he <img class="alignright size-thumbnail wp-image-429" title="57208977OG_D036707022" src="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/mauer-150x150.jpg" alt="57208977OG_D036707022" width="150" height="150" />produces at their level while playing a very thin position.  Think about what your roster would look like were you to pick Braun.  You&#8217;d have a stud outfielder but would now be forced to dip down into the shortstop pool later on; let&#8217;s say to the 10th round where both Jason Bartlett and outfielder Nelson Cruz will be available.  Your team is obviously stronger with Ramirez and Cruz than with Braun and Bartlett.</p>
<p>The same logic must be applied to Mauer.  He&#8217;s a three time batting champ and the reigning MVP who, by the way, became a stud power hitter last year while batting .370.  Those stats put him in the first round no matter what his position.  That his is actually the weakest of all, you absolutely cannot afford to turn down his kind of production at that spot.  So, do you think you&#8217;re better off with Mauer and Joey Votto in the fifth round or with Mark Teixeira and Brian McCann?  Looks like an easy decision, Jack.  Good luck.</p>
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		<title>The Fantasy Baseball Forecast</title>
		<link>http://fantasysportsdirt.com/304/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-5/</link>
		<comments>http://fantasysportsdirt.com/304/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-5/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 26 Sep 2009 02:05:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Eddie</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[With but ten days remaining in the season, the race in the Hausier&#8217;s Krowedum Rotisserie League has boiled down to three teams; all of whom have been moving up and down within a range of ten points while alternating positions on a daily basis.  &#8220;It&#8217;s tough when the categories are this close&#8221;, said Bobby Carr <a href='http://fantasysportsdirt.com/304/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-5/'>[...]</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With but ten days remaining in the season, the race in the Hausier&#8217;s Krowedum Rotisserie League has boiled down to<img class="alignright size-full wp-image-305" title="fieldwithballmoon" src="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/fieldwithballmoon6.jpg" alt="fieldwithballmoon" width="300" height="286" /> three teams; all of whom have been moving up and down within a range of ten points while alternating positions on a daily basis.  &#8220;It&#8217;s tough when the categories are this close&#8221;, said Bobby Carr of the Master Batters.  &#8220;At this time of year you&#8217;d like to focus on a category or two where you can either move up or protect a lead.  But a number of categories are close enough to demand attention and it&#8217;s spreading the attack pretty thin.&#8221;  In explaining further, Carr said, &#8220;I woke up the other day with a four point lead overall.  But I was just percentage points ahead of two teams in WHIP and just 2 RBI ahead of another two.  The next day, each of those four had passed me and I was two points behind.&#8221;  &#8220;I&#8217;ve decided to leave my team the way it is and hope for the best.  About the only moves I&#8217;ll make is to fill slots when players have an off day.&#8221; Carr&#8217;s problem is not uncommon among owners still in the race.  Trying to decide which players give you the best chance at gaining a point or two without costing you somewhere else is a dicey game.  Fortunately for Carr, it&#8217;s one he&#8217;s used to as he pushes for his third consecutive title.  As we said last week, keep an eye on the pennant race in the AL Central as the Twins and the Tigers will not sit their regulars and give up on your guys who may be losing playing time to auditioning rookies.  You&#8217;ve got ten days left.  Good luck.</p>
<p><strong><em>Streaking</em></strong>-Switch hitting <em><strong>Matt Wieters</strong></em> is playing every day for the Orioles and has 3 three hit games in his last 4&#8230; The Twins keep closing on the Tigers and <em><strong>Michael Cuddyer</strong></em> is a big reason. Since it was announced that Justin Morneau is out for the year, Cuddyer has taken over at 1B and hit 4 HR in 6 games&#8230; <em><strong>Jason Kubel</strong></em> has settled into the Twins’ cleanup spot and seems to be driving in a run every night… Rockies C <strong><em>Yorvit Torrealba </em></strong>has been on fire, with four multi hit games in the last nine&#8230; Cubs&#8217; hurler <em><strong>Tom Gorzelanny</strong></em> has been throwing very well and could give you a W or two&#8230; Royals&#8217; 1B  <strong><em>Billy Butler</em></strong>, a huge Moonlight favorite, is closing in on 50 doubles. Mark it down now; Butler will have a huge 2010.</p>
<p><em><strong>Stalling</strong></em>- The White Sox may look to limit the innings of starters <em><strong>John Danks</strong></em> and <em><strong>Mark Buerhle</strong></em> over the last week… <em><strong>Milton Bradley</strong></em> is done for the year after the Cubs suspended him for criticizing the team in the press. What a surprise&#8230; White Sox OF <em><strong>Jermaine Dye</strong></em> is crawling toward the finish line and has seen his BA drop to .238.</p>
<p><em><strong>Sick Bay</strong></em>- Jays&#8217; SS <strong><em>Marco Scutaro</em></strong> is out for the year with a back injury&#8230; OF <em><strong>Denard Span </strong></em>was out of the Twins&#8217; lineup on Tuesday after being beaned on Monday. He&#8217;s day to day&#8230; San Francisco 2B <strong><em>Freddy Sanchez</em></strong> could miss a few days with a bad knee.</p>
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