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	<title>Fantasy Sports Dirt &#187; Jarrod Washburn</title>
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		<title>Fantasy Baseball Forecast: Working the Count</title>
		<link>http://fantasysportsdirt.com/187/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-baseball-forecast-working-the-count/</link>
		<comments>http://fantasysportsdirt.com/187/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-baseball-forecast-working-the-count/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Aug 2009 16:22:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Moonlight Graham</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Dunn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alex Rodriguez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aubrey Huff]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baseball Owners]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clay Bucholz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consecutive Seasons]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Derek Jeter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball owners]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Game Suspension]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ichiro Suzuki]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[J.J. Hardy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jamie Moyer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jarrod Washburn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joe Girardi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joe Nathan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jon Lester]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jorge Posada]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Josh Beckett]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kevin Youkilis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Major Leaguer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Manny Parra]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mat Latos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mlb Player]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Moonlight Graham]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nyjer Morgan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pedro Martinez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rick Porcello]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Troy Tulowitzki]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vlad Guerrero]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yankee Manager Joe]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fantasysportsdirt.com/?p=187</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Despite the fact that the Red Sox took a beating last week in the Bronx, Josh Beckett, Clay Bucholz and Jon Lester all turned in solid performances on the hill… Since the All Star break, Twins' starters have an ERA of 5.97, severely limiting Joe Nathan's save opportunities… Some guys seem to thrive on mediocre teams. For example, Angels' OF Vlad Guerrero is 10 for 28 with 4 HR since returning from the DL… Let's look at who you might want to play "deal or no deal" with...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>by Moonlight Graham</h2>
<h3>Pitchers and Hitters</h3>
<p>Despite the fact that the Red Sox took a beating last week in the Bronx, <strong><em>Josh <img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-189" title="fieldwithballmoon_copy_2zyh" src="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/08/fieldwithballmoon_copy_2zyh1-300x286.jpg" alt="fieldwithballmoon_copy_2zyh" width="300" height="286" />Beckett, Clay Bucholz</em></strong> and <strong><em>Jon Lester</em></strong> all turned in solid performances on the hill…   Baltimore&#8217;s <strong><em>Aubrey Huff</em></strong> has cleared waivers and can now be dealt… Despite posting stellar numbers in Seattle, <strong><em>Jarrod Washburn</em></strong> has been brutal in two starts since being traded to Detroit.  Some guys seem to thrive on mediocre teams… Angels&#8217; OF <strong><em>Vlad Guerrero </em></strong>is 10 for 28 with 4 HR since returning from the DL… Since the All Star break, Twins&#8217; starters have an ERA of 5.97, severely limiting <strong><em>Joe Nathan&#8217;s</em></strong> save opportunities… <strong><em>Ichiro Suzuki</em></strong> is 30 hits shy of becoming the first Major Leaguer with 200 hits in 9 consecutive seasons… Milwaukee&#8217;s <strong><em>Manny Parra</em></strong> is 4-0, 1.10 since returning from the minors… The Phillies have moved <strong><em>Jamie Moyer</em></strong> into the bullpen to clear a spot in the rotation for <strong><em>Pedro Martinez</em></strong>.  Hard to imagine Moyer will have any <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/category/fantasy-baseball/"><strong><em>Fantasy Baseball</em></strong> </a>value as a reliever… San Diego rookie <strong><em>Mat Latos</em></strong> has 4 wins in his first 5 starts… <strong><em>Nyjer Morgan</em></strong> is hitting .362 since coming to Washington from Pittsburgh… <strong><em>Troy Tulowitzki</em></strong>, fresh off a 7 RBI game that featured a cycle, is now batting cleanup for the Rockies… Is there any MLB player that gets less respect than <strong><em>Adam Dunn</em></strong>?  On his way to his fifth straight 40 HR season, Dunn almost had to beg for a contract last winter before signing with the Nationals… <strong><em>Derek Jeter, Jorge Posada, Alex Rodriguez </em></strong>and <strong><em>Mariano Rivera</em></strong> are all nursing minor injuries.  Don’t be surprised if Yankee manager <strong><em>Joe Girardi</em></strong> takes advantage of their six game lead and gives each an occasional day off… The Brewers&#8217; sent the struggling <strong><em>J.J. Hardy</em></strong> to the minors and presented Fantasy Baseball owners with an opportunity for some quick, cheap SB by handing the SS job to rookie <strong><em>Alcides Escobar</em></strong>, who had 42 SB when called up&#8230; Boston’s <strong><em>Kevin Youkilis</em></strong> will not appeal the five game suspension for his ridiculous overreaction to being plunked Monday night by <strong><em>Rick Porcello</em></strong>… Porcello was also handed a 5 game ban but will only miss one turn in the Tigers’ rotation… 30 of Rays’ 1B Carlos Pena’s 85 H have been HR.</p>
<h3>Buy Low</h3>
<p>In Detroit, <strong><em>Magglio Ordonez</em></strong> has turned in three straight solid performances vs. RHP and may be on the verge of getting his full time job back.  He’s not the Magglio we all know and love but, he could help you down the stretch… Seattle’s <strong><em>Franklin Gutierrez </em></strong>has been moved up to the second spot in the order and should see a bump in R…</p>
<h3>Sell High</h3>
<p><strong><em></em></strong> <strong><em>Kenji Johjima</em></strong> is losing playing time to Rob Johnson and hasn’t made consecutive starts in a month… Not only did Tampa Bay drop <strong><em>B.J. Upton</em></strong> to ninth in the batting order, he’s pissing and moaning about it; not a good sign… <strong><em>Roy Oswalt </em></strong>was cuffed around in his first start off the DL and may be more valuable to you in a trade…</p>
<h3>Grab Bag</h3>
<p><strong><em>Kyle Davies</em></strong> makes his second consecutive appearance in the Grab Bag after a strong outing vs. Minnesota.  He’s worth a shot, especially in AL only leagues… Royals’ 1B <strong><em>Billy Butler</em></strong> has 36 doubles and is a FA in most mixed leagues.  Don’t forget his September power surge last year… <strong><em>Denard Span</em></strong> was 9-14 vs. Detroit last weekend and seems to have jumped ahead of Delmon Young and Carlos Gomez in the crowded Minnesota outfield… If you’re looking for W in your AL only league, Seattle’s <strong><em>Ryan Rowland-Smith</em></strong> might be a nice pickup based on his two solid outings since coming off the DL… <strong><em>Trent Oeltjen</em></strong> has started his MLB career with a .500 BA over his first 6 games and will be a regular in the D’Backs’ OF with Chris Young gone… Don’t look now but <strong><em>Barry Zito</em></strong> is 3-0 2.19 over his last 4 starts…</p>
<h3>Drop Zone</h3>
<p>Can’t believe there will be much playing time left for <strong><em>Scott Podsednik</em></strong> in Chicago now that Alex Rios is on board.  There may only be pinch running and an occasional start… <strong><em>Jose Contreras</em></strong> is 0-4 6.75 over his last five and doesn’t even warrant a spot on a deep, AL only roster. Dump him before Ozzie Guillen does… Tampa plans to use a platoon behind the plate, giving Gregg Zaun most of the AB and rendering <strong><em>Dioner Navarro</em></strong> worthless… Patience has finally run out in Arizona for OF <strong><em>Chris Young</em></strong> who was dispatched to the minors this week…</p>
<h3>Sick Bay</h3>
<p><strong><em>Carlos Delgado</em></strong> has experienced a setback in his rehab and will probably not return this season… <strong><em>Justin Duchscherrer</em></strong> returns to Oakland’s rotation this weekend after being out all year with elbow and back issues… Cubs’ 3B <strong><em>Aramis Ramirez</em></strong> is experiencing soreness in the shoulder he dislocated in May… <strong><em>Chad Billingsley</em></strong> missed a start for the Dodgers with a strained hamstring but should avoid the DL…</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Moonlight Graham&#8217;s Fantasy Baseball Forecast: The Trading Deadline</title>
		<link>http://fantasysportsdirt.com/133/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-the-trading-deadline/</link>
		<comments>http://fantasysportsdirt.com/133/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-the-trading-deadline/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Jul 2009 13:40:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Moonlight Graham</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alex Rios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alex Rodriguez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baseball Owners]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carlos Beltran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chien Ming Wang]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Draft Pick]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Baseball Draft]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fantasy baseball league]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fantasy leagues]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fantasy Owners]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Four Horsemen]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geovany Soto]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gradys]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jarrod Washburn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joel Pineiro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Major League Baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monetary Gains]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Moonlight Graham]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Roy Halladay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ryan Howard]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Slim 2]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistical Categories]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Teams At The Top]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Th Place]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tomorrow Afternoon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trade Strategy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://fantasysportsdirt.com/?p=133</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[While Major League Baseball marks its trade deadline tomorrow afternoon at 4 PM, many Fantasy Baseball owners have a little more time to digest the MLB moves and act accordingly.  In the Hausier’s Krowedum Fantasy Baseball League, owners have until August 5th before trades are no longer an option for improvement.  The deals started last <a href='http://fantasysportsdirt.com/133/the-fantasy-baseball-forecast-the-trading-deadline/'>[...]</a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>While <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/50/moonlight-grahams-fantasy-forecast-over-the-bag/">Major League Baseball</a> marks its trade deadline tomorrow afternoon at 4 <img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-169" title="fieldwithballmoon_copy_2zyh" src="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/fieldwithballmoon_copy_2zyh18-300x286.jpg" alt="fieldwithballmoon_copy_2zyh" width="300" height="286" />PM, many Fantasy Baseball owners have a little more time to digest the MLB moves and act accordingly.  In the Hausier’s Krowedum Fantasy Baseball League, owners have until August 5<sup>th</sup> before trades are no longer an option for improvement.  The deals started last week as players like Roy Halladay, Alex Rodriguez and Ryan Howard turned up on the rosters of the teams at the top, acquired from those out of the running.   With many fantasy leagues facing deadlines over the next few weeks, it seems like a good time to discuss trade strategy and protocol from both sides of the transaction.</p>
<p>Contenders should always target statistical categories when making a trade and factor potential monetary gains into a player’s valuation.  For instance, if you find that there is potential for a bump of three points in a tightly bunched ERA category and the prize for winning your league is $500, you should give up significantly more for Joel Pineiro or Jarrod Washburn than you would have back in April or May.  They may not be players worthy of a high draft pick or stud keeper under normal circumstances but they are when you can win.  Don’t underbid.</p>
<p>Be alert for peripheral deals that can help you by hurting your opposition.  Earlier this week in the HK League, Bobby Carr found his Skippy Shakes looking up at the Shady Gradys.   Carr saw that he had a big lead in HR and was locked into 6<sup>th</sup> place in SB; 20 behind and 20 ahead of his closest rivals.  The Gradys however had a slim 2 SB lead over the Four Horsemen.  As Carr is just 6 points behind the second place Gradys in the overall standings, he sent Alex Rios to the Horsemen, hoping the addition would vault the Horsemen to the top of the category and take a valuable point away from a rival.  A deal like this can be more valuable to you than an acquisition.</p>
<p>If you’re back in the pack and find yourself selling instead of buying, act quickly, as the contenders will be willing to give up only so much and you could be left holding the bag.  Such is the case for Ken Jankowski of GMoney, who came out of the HK Fantasy Baseball draft with a team full of studs that would soon end up on the DL.  Disappointed, Kenny set out to improve draft position for next year.  The problem was, the four contenders had already made a number of deals for high draft picks and there wasn’t a lot left.  He moved Alex Rodriguez for a 2<sup>nd</sup> rounder and as of this writing was still holding Mark Teixeira without a deal in sight.</p>
<p>Finally, if you are a seller, don’t just turn your attention to your Fantasy Football Draft as soon as the deadline passes.  Keep an eye on your team as it is your responsibility to help maintain the integrity of the standings.  You don’t have to grab free agents every day, especially if it’ll cost you money, but you owe it to the rest of the league to replace injured player</p>
<p>*              *              *              *              *</p>
<p><strong><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Buy Low-</span></em></strong> Don’t let <strong><em>Cliff Lee’s</em></strong> record fool you.  After a rough April, he’s spent the last three months throwing every bit as well as he did in winning the Cy Young last year.  Now that he’s in Philly, look for the W to pile up… Despite a seven game win streak, Rockies’ starter <strong><em>Aaron Cook</em></strong> remains a free agent in some mixed leagues.  Even if he’s not, see if his owner’s been paying attention… <strong><em>Cole Hamels</em></strong> has put three strong starts together since the break and might be a nice deadline pickup for your squad… Might be your last chance to</p>
<p><strong><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Sell High- </span></em></strong>The Orioles are actively looking to move <strong><em>George Sherrill</em></strong> with the Dodgers as one of the destinations.  With Jonathan Broxton entrenched in the closer’s role, Sherrill would no longer be a source for S… Tampa’s <strong><em>James Shields</em></strong> is winless in his last 7 starts… Rangers’ 2B <strong><em>Ian Kinsler</em></strong> has struggled for two months while his BA has dropped to .242.  If you’re NOT in a keeper league, he’d bring a boat load of draft picks… <strong><em>Clint Barmes’</em></strong> slump has gotten so bad that Rockies’ manager Jim Tracy recently dropped him from 2<sup>nd</sup> to 8<sup>th</sup> in the batting order…</p>
<p><strong><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Grab Bag- </span></em></strong>Cubs’ C <strong><em>Koyie Hill</em></strong> has started every game since Geovany Soto went down with an injury. OF/3B is his only backup… <strong><em>Bronson Arroyo</em></strong> has put together quite a few solid starts over the last two months and could see his value leap if he’s traded to a contender… This might be your last chance to pick up the red hot <a href="http://fantasysportsdirt.com/33/the-fantasy-forecast-rounding-second/"><strong><em>Josh Willingham</em></strong>.</a> Hope you read Moonlight two weeks ago…</p>
<p><strong><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Drop</span></em></strong><strong><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;"> </span></em></strong><strong><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Zone-</span></em></strong><strong><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;"> </span></em></strong>No room at the inn for <strong><em>Ben Francisco</em></strong>, who moves from the Indians’ OF to the Phillies’ bench… <strong><em>Magglio Ordonez</em></strong> needs just 130 plate appearances for a 2010 option for $18 million kicks in.  The way he’s hitting, can’t see the Tigers allowing that to happen… Royals’ reliever, <strong><em>Juan Cruz</em></strong>, is 0-2 with two blown saves since the All Star break… Despite the Angels’ success, <strong><em>Joe Saunders</em></strong> continues to struggle with a 6.58 ERA over his last 11 starts… <strong><em>Chad Tracy</em></strong> is no longer an option in even the deepest of NL only leagues as the D’Backs look to the future…</p>
<p><strong><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Sick</span></em></strong><strong><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;"> </span></em></strong><strong><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Bay-</span></em></strong><strong><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;"> </span></em></strong><strong><em>Carlos Beltran</em></strong> estimates he is 2-3 weeks away from a return to the Mets lineup after sitting out with a bone bruise in his knee&#8230; Yanks’ hurler <strong><em>Chien Ming Wang</em></strong> will undergo season ending surgery, as will Twins’ starter <strong><em>Kevin Slowey</em></strong>… Seattle 3B <strong><em>Adrian Beltre</em></strong> is expected back from a shoulder injury in two weeks… Houston’s <strong><em>Lance Berkman</em></strong> is on the 15 day DL with a strained calf…</p>
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