“Attention Fantasy Football Shoppers…”
By Eddie Mayrose
To most Fantasy Football Owners, the key to a successful season is a stable of capable ball-carriers. Given the amount of touches they
receive, it’s a logical concept to spend early round picks on running backs. In most Fantasy Football Drafts, they dominate the first round; often taking up the first five slots. However, there is significant, year-to-year turnover on the list of elite backs, something owners don’t always take into account and the reason bargain hunting could lead to a championship.
Last season, many Fantasy Football Players were all smiles after landing Matt Forte and Marion Barber in the first two rounds. That was likely the only happiness enjoyed by those owners as both of the supposed studs failed to fire. Yet, discount rushers like Thomas Jones and Jamaal Charles delivered top shelf numbers at a much lower price.
Heading into the season, there are two running backs that, because of the circumstances of their teams, are newcomers to the “Elite List”. There are two others, in similar situations, who are not as highly regarded but could become productive members of your championship squad at a fraction of the cost. Just remember to shoot the old Professor a thank you note as you celebrate your title. Continue reading »
Buck the Trend, Grab ‘em Early
By Eddie Mayrose
If you’re a Wagstaff follower, you’ve heard this refrain before. “Grab the best Fantasy Receivers as early as possible.” It’s a theory put into practice every year by the Professor as he constructs his Fantasy Football Roster; one that has annually provided a tremendous edge over Fantasy Owners locked into the standard system of front-loading running backs. Here’s why.
It’s a widely accepted (yet flawed) idea that the elite ball carriers produce more than the best wideouts. While I’ll agree that running backs are guaranteed significantly more touches, it doesn’t guarantee better production. Texans’ star Andre Johnson was a Wagstaff first rounder in every draft. Compare his 1,500 YDS and 9 TD to Stephen Jackson’s 1,300 YDS and 4 TD. Now, it’d be crazy to pass on Chris Johnson, Adrian Peterson or Maurice Jones-Drew with any of the first three picks but, after that, guys like Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald and Randy Moss are way more likely to deliver their career averages than what’s left in the backfield. Not to mention that running backs are infinitely more likely to get hurt.
So, take advantage of those in your Fantasy Football League that are mired in the conventional wisdom. Stockpile two of the elite receivers before anyone realizes how that the position has thinned out and then scoop up mid-round running backs who’ll still help your team. Continue reading »
Roll the Dice and Cross Your Fingers
By Eddie Mayrose
Show of hands. How many of you made Jason Witten the first Tight End selected in your Fantasy Football Draft last year? Now, how many picked up Vernon Davis in the last few rounds? Those of you that answered yes to the first question likely cursed Witten and his 2 measly TD’s all season while the Davis owners were pounding their chests well into the playoffs.
The point? When it comes to Tight Ends, nothing is guaranteed so, don’t reach for them. When a position is as thin as this, many owners foolishly think they need to grab a guy early so as not to get stuck with a stiff. More logical, however, is the theory that you should make your selection as late as possible since most of your league mates will also be weak in the same spot. Let someone else go after Dallas Clark in the third round. You’ll do just fine with Zach Miller in the eighth. Continue reading »
After the Break, Some Fly, Others Flop
by Moonlight Graham
Moonlight regular, Joe Mreczko, posed a question about pitchers that might be able to help his Fantasy Baseball team over the second half
of the season. It’s actually a two-sided question, as any Fantasy Baseball owner should be just as worried about the hurlers to avoid as the ones to target. So, in order to help Joe work his way past all of the Phillie cheese steaks in his league, here’s a special, Moonlight, second half preview from sixty feet six inches.
Grab Bag
Any list of post All Star Break Studs has to begin with Johan Santana as the Mets’ ace is 64-19 over his career in the second half. Don’t be fooled by his mundane 8-5 record, either. He’s suffered eight no decisions in which he’s allowed just nine runs. Use his struggles to your advantage by grabbing him from J-Roller frustrated to this point.
Detroit’s Max Scherzer must have been given a magic elixir upon being sent to the minors a little more than a month ago as he suddenly discovered the velocity that had been missing through the early part of the season. Since his return, Scherzer is 4-3 while averaging 7 K per start. His numbers still appear unimpressive because of the slow start so, he may come cheap.
Javier Vasquez has spent half a season seeking the approval of ignorant Yankee fans convinced he didn’t belong in the rotation. He’s the #2 starter now, (as predicted here in February), but may still be undervalued. Go out and grab him. Continue reading »
MLB Clubs Undermine Own Chances at Title
by Moonlight Graham
In 2003, in an attempt to regenerate fan interest just a year after a lack of available pitchers forced MLB Commissioner Bud Selig to
declare the All Star Game a tie, Baseball’s hierarchy decreed that the Mid-Summer Classic would now determine home field advantage in the World Series. It wasn’t already bad enough that the rosters were watered down by the requirement that each team, no matter how bad, must be represented; now, a player from a second division club could have a hand in deciding the outcome of the sport’s premier event months in advance.
While the move was and is opposed by many, I never really had a problem with it. Not because I agree with the concept; it’s completely ridiculous to think I’m staying up that late to watch Garrett Jones of the Pittsburgh Pirates face Kansas City Royals’ closer Joakim Soria because I’d like the Mets to have home field if they get that far. However, because the old system of alternating the privilege was also completely without merit, I figured, “Who cares?” Until I realized that the new policy actually gives mindless fans the opportunity to hurt their team’s shot at a championship; often at the prompting of it’s own front office. We’ve all been to the ballpark in the early part of the season and heard the huge pitch to vote for the hometown boys. Actually, you don’t even have to attend a game anymore, as on-line balloting has given everyone a voice. “Send Joe Blow to Los Angeles for the All Star Game”, blare the ads. “Forget the stats, vote for our guys!” On the surface, a nice marketing strategy, but one that could prove fatal to a championship run. Continue reading »